Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Burruchaga (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e00c0f45f31719d911a713f82459fa6c32556dba4ecce58fdc3df2fd2583df6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burruchagaof Paul, Burruchaga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Paul | 63c | 2,418$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.31 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Burruchaga | 37c | 2,222$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.77 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Burruchaga | 50c | 1,604$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.31 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Paul | 69c | 1,460$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.39 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Burruchaga | 56c | 1,146$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.29 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Paul | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.2 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Paul | 35c | 968.19$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Paul | 70c | 791.18$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.82 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…f228backed Paul | 73c | 599.72$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Burruchaga | 65c | 482.64$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Paul | 27c | 443.62$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Burruchaga | 61c | 415$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Paul | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…6b8cbacked Burruchaga | 70c | 362.12$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Burruchaga | 53c | 278.91$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.72 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Burruchaga | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked Burruchaga | 52c | 247$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Burruchaga | 24c | 225$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Burruchaga | 30c | 154.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.94 | 354 | 36.4%129 W · 225 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Burruchaga | 33c | 150$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…9aa7backed Burruchaga | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Burruchaga | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Burruchaga | 29c | 125$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Burruchaga | 29c | 125$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Burruchaga | 29c | 125$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Paul | 40c | 111.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Paul | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Burruchaga | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…ab39backed Paul | 64c | 84.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Paul | 70c | 79.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…1715backed Burruchaga | 15c | 77.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 7cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Burruchaga | 60c | 73.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Paul | 40c | 62.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Paul | 36c | 58.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Burruchaga | 61c | 56.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Paul | 67c | 54.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Paul | 32c | 52.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Burruchaga | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Paul | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.0wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Paul | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Burruchaga | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Burruchaga | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Paul | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Burruchaga | 52c | 37.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Paul | 38c | 35.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Paul | 61c | 26.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4437…503ebacked Burruchaga | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…7de7backed Paul | 62c | 24.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…92a2backed Burruchaga | 77c | 20.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Burruchaga (+1.5)this page
- Burruchaga vs. Paul: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Burruchaga vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Burruchaga vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Roman Andres Burruchaga vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Burruchaga vs PaulPaul won
- US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tommy PaulTommy Paul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.