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NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Celtics, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,002 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics45c11,894$5,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,352.4372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks65c10,767$7,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,758.732,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics44c9,166$4,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,010.891,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Celtics45c7,385$3,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,323.217050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Celtics43c4,820$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.421350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29ce…1ba6backed Hawks55c4,582$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.951070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Celtics45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks53c3,902$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.376,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks57c3,208$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.224,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Celtics36c3,156$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.632,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Hawks55c3,005$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.3224151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Celtics47c2,223$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.946547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Hawks56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9731046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks55c1,975$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.314,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks60c1,791$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.558,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f50…3191backed Hawks55c1,612$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.437865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Hawks55c1,499$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.6458347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks55c1,481$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.491,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x100c…1c2cbacked Celtics44c1,456$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.952634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Hawks55c1,167$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.1317850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Hawks55c1,114$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.1891050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hawks55c1,062$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.91,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Celtics45c993.69$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.161,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Hawks54c886.59$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.8387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Hawks56c832.51$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.320051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hawks56c823.29$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.481,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hawks60c805.81$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.631,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics42c771$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.63,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hawks61c769.61$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.531,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics47c761.14$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.741,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Hawks54c729.7$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.6620846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91ba…8e5cbacked Celtics42c696.81$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-73.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Celtics40c696.1$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.4458740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Celtics42c689.77$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.713339.1%52 W · 81 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Celtics35c598.07$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.231,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Celtics30c567$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7926337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf57…f9a5backed Hawks54c561.5$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Hawks54c547.28$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.7528949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203b…d116backed Hawks58c511.84$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.975964.4%38 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics43c503.22$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.894,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Hawks54c443.29$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9142845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Celtics31c431.05$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x387b…fd56backed Celtics45c413.63$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.136145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics39c354.11$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Hawks56c352.38$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.348450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed Hawks56c349.88$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.835560%33 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Hawks60c329.61$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5113349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Celtics39c314.23$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.161,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Hawks54c308.4$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Celtics39c290.64$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3516039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Celtics40c270.56$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.362047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Hawks57c263$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0947436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Celtics37c259.91$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4521443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Celtics44c227.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3152951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Hawks56c218.74$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2410745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Hawks59c202.14$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8876552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e91…8d7ebacked Celtics44c200.3$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.13875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+64.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2fe…09c9backed Celtics42c195.11$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.946051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Hawks54c182.43$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9210249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks50c176$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Hawks56c175.93$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4126755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x668a…04d1backed Celtics47c173.68$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.634238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Celtics42c169.65$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5634248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Celtics33c168$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0180440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4980…57febacked Celtics47c167.48$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7210245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Hawks60c164.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1451647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Celtics39c163.61$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8128643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Hawks55c159.12$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.11553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Celtics42c149.26$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6831540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Hawks60c145.5$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4950948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd87c…42d4backed Celtics46c143.72$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.111643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Hawks56c140.16$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3511558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics45c137.36$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.543,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Hawks55c134.29$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Celtics34c133.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.816825%17 W · 51 L-12.6wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-49.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Celtics46c121.17$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.748439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Hawks59c118.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4956547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Celtics46c117.78$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.186150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Hawks56c117.22$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.941,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Hawks62c116.81$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8461939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Celtics20c108.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.547248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Hawks54c102.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9921352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Hawks80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2022170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Celtics28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2814059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf407…9201backed Hawks54c98.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.314470.5%31 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks54c93.9$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.192,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Hawks54c93.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0155347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Hawks54c91.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9638152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Celtics44c89.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4113852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Hawks56c87.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.710348.5%50 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Hawks56c80.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.611,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Celtics32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.640440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Hawks54c78.28$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0260945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Hawks70c77.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8365630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Celtics46c75.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Celtics38c75.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.91,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Celtics31c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Celtics31c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2521242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Celtics42c73.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Hawks55c71.65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2419849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.