TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,520

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,690 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd529…f0d4backed No67c1,204$802 inWon+$401.931,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No68c958.61$647 inWon+$311.1765762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x809f…f480backed Yes33c672.77$222 inLost-$222.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Yes32c531.97$170 inLost-$169.8515849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…5f87backed Yes38c259.44$99 inLost-$98.59742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076b…ab7fbacked Yes32c224.22$72 inLost-$71.75333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No78c195.38$152 inWon+$43.8739265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No69c155.23$107 inWon+$48.074,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6f6…8c20backed Yes32c154.21$49 inLost-$49.35933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed No69c149.98$103 inWon+$46.4939864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2c1…b6f3backed Yes32c117.45$37 inLost-$37.49922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Yes30c113.92$34 inLost-$33.8928455.3%157 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Yes31c110.52$34 inLost-$33.8812954.3%70 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdabb…8cc4backed Yes31c109.2$34 inLost-$33.537655.3%42 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ca…35f7backed Yes31c86.72$27 inLost-$26.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No71c80$56 inWon+$23.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0f…42a8backed Yes32c51.89$17 inLost-$16.71618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-55.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80ad…bc2dbacked Yes31c50.95$16 inLost-$15.791931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd49…515dbacked Yes29c50.67$15 inLost-$14.74450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf5a…b830backed Yes30c48.82$15 inLost-$14.812437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb8c…db83backed Yes31c36.62$11 inLost-$11.35825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7861…3d27backed Yes33c35.52$12 inLost-$11.727930.4%24 W · 55 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No68c30$20 inWon+$9.660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No67c27.4$18 inWon+$9.0495260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No68c25.64$17 inWon+$8.233653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.