TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,533 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2c8…5471backed No72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.979536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c7,567$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,118.622,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes41c5,870$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.653925.6%10 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Yes57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8506468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes57c4,088$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.021,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes56c2,647$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.493,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c2,536$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.614,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes28c2,094$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.1640357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No72c1,997$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.147561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes48c1,914$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No63c1,737$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.623476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38b8…f812backed No39c1,710$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.525556.4%31 W · 24 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No45c1,669$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.9483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No33c1,520$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.1621950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No80c1,489$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.9925872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6d8…92d8backed Yes1c1,411$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No60c1,363$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.5783444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No45c1,276$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.9818956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes28c1,152$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.2323456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No43c1,072$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.5258548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes60c1,065$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.1599933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed No71c1,010$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.97851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43021322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No74c936.12$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.019557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes42c926.14$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.0333734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No56c873.98$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8112626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No58c861.95$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.022365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No49c811.08$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.6360147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes32c749.38$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.823152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c718.29$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.121,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes33c704.25$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.4422446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc061…2336backed Yes76c608.28$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.31942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes27c527.96$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.933327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+70.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No46c458.29$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.269931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1894…9b71backed No69c436.44$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.391376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+55.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes25c382$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.513426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c351.28$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8769750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes48c334.85$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.664537.8%17 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick13cpaid+312.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+135.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+81.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes54c291.68$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7823762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No72c289.5$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.069666.7%64 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No35c288.43$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4826641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf629…38d5backed No21c283.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+43.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed No34c282.47$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.432334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No49c268.57$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9729038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No32c265.75$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5812823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c263.73$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c229.49$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5575451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed No21c226.81$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.181172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+51.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No76c226.58$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3819953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes28c224.91$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-70.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9142…fd4bbacked Yes66c224.89$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No70c215.72$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8123843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes25c209.97$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.922222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes48c203.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.865050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes49c197.05$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.554353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No72c187.24$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.431,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No45c175$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.254252.4%22 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+32.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8788…d82abacked Yes28c172.22$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.22633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Yes28c170.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.844544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No73c169.2$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9915459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes31c156.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.727838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9986…27aebacked Yes69c155.36$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.62955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes25c152.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.26926.1%18 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5154…ea77backed Yes28c151.17$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.33757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045f…763cbacked Yes66c147.83$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-52.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a68…98aebacked Yes67c146.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.021471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c143.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6562744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed No73c139.03$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.541947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No41c129.6$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7220241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes80c117.84$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2722753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf94c…4484backed Yes68c117.66$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.436261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6084…5c17backed Yes28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+57.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe531…39d8backed Yes28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No71c99.97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6645450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No38c99.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3959655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes29c98.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4315832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x574d…1227backed No73c97.34$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.28580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes59c97.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.839441.5%39 W · 55 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes79c95.88$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8620050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8821457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No21c95.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2620252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No44c92.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.363553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed No21c90.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.671662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked No55c88.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.86159%36 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Yes28c85.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.923339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xded6…f649backed Yes41c84.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Yes68c83.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.691855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa761…46c1backed No59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed No59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.893956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+52%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes75c78.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.119652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No72c78.59$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…ea3bbacked Yes31c78.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.741250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes66c78.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.722853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes33c77.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.515133.3%17 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No34c76.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7115442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc995…05a3backed Yes29c76.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.212055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No49c76.4$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8710948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.