Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Himeno Sakatsume
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4dfcd19cea0e18fb2b0cb0f5e81b784c5296f54f4d89ba698f1ee85921a098d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Himeno Sakatsumeof Jazmin Ortenzi, Himeno Sakatsume
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 19c | 15,766$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 19c | 5,141$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.93 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Himeno Sakatsume | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Himeno Sakatsume | 78c | 4,861$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.98 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 80c | 2,750$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.07 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 20c | 2,350$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 20c | 2,339$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.6 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 20c | 1,900$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.98 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 20c | 1,385$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.07 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 22c | 1,365$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 20c | 1,063$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.61 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 19c | 1,039$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 20c | 950.28$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.06 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 19c | 941.6$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.26 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 22c | 869.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…e49fbacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 7c | 718.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Himeno Sakatsume | 80c | 552.75$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Himeno Sakatsume | 78c | 470.97$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Himeno Sakatsume | 78c | 470$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…d82abacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 20c | 435.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Himeno Sakatsume | 79c | 403$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.63 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 20c | 341.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 20c | 300.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 16c | 275$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 19c | 210.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Himeno Sakatsume | 79c | 152$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 16c | 148.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…3ae5backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 20c | 143.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 11c | 143.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 22c | 142.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Himeno Sakatsume | 79c | 120.53$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 18c | 110.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Himeno Sakatsume | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Jazmin Ortenzi | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 21c | 92.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Himeno Sakatsume | 78c | 77.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 232 | 56.5%131 W · 101 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Himeno Sakatsume | 79c | 77.13$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 20c | 71.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 220 | 59.5%131 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Himeno Sakatsume | 79c | 66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Himeno Sakatsume | 79c | 61.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 20c | 55.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 21c | 52.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Jazmin Ortenzi | 28c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 79c | 50.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Himeno Sakatsume | 80c | 42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 165 | 88.5%146 W · 19 L | +37.7wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Himeno Sakatsume | 79c | 41.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Himeno Sakatsume | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed Himeno Sakatsume | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification WTA: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Himeno Sakatsumethis page
- Set Handicap: Sakatsume (-1.5) vs Ortenzi (+1.5)Sakatsume won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.