Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cfff9ca280e65357087ab55ab32560d93d3337687f2d343c0556bf87658ff40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 34c | 2,147$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.02 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 66c | 2,095$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.88 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 25c | 1,963$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 75c | 1,295$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,266$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 1,055$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.03 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…2f74backed Yes | 47c | 595.7$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 46c | 561.08$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.06 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…f8c1backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +125%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 76c | 499.97$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…93f9backed Yes | 25c | 402.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 256.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 54c | 189.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…d82abacked Yes | 27c | 188.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 159.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 144.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 14c | 143.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 51c | 107.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 24c | 102.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 50c | 93.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 55c | 93.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 28c | 78.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Yes | 52c | 77.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 74c | 67.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…05a3backed Yes | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 24c | 56.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 24c | 56.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 68c | 46.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…8e60backed Yes | 33c | 44.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 24c | 41.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed No | 47c | 38.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 75c | 15.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?this page
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-11?Yes won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.