Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2620d5d6735e1325b448bfa6ab4176a95e24c96b8e23e7ccc467efa6ee6864b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 2,509$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.44 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 71c | 2,025$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.35 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…2f74backed Yes | 57c | 943.54$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 33c | 853.93$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.8 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 847.85$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 805.91$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 56c | 494.62$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.99 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 56c | 433$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 44c | 412$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.72 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 31c | 370.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 28c | 229.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 41c | 209.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…52d5backed Yes | 57c | 174.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 43c | 173.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 57c | 173.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 143.51$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 43c | 137.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 29c | 124.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 118.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 42c | 101.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 43c | 99.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 28c | 95.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 42c | 71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…bcf9backed Yes | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…6a57backed Yes | 15c | 64.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…05a3backed Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 43c | 56.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Yes | 57c | 51.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 68c | 45.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked No | 64c | 38.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…5eb9backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 79c | 22.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-05-11?this page
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-11?Yes won
- Will Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.