Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd52e42f2cb22b830edff4883943855dec407741dca3d9bd9ec24a3430e50f9fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 2,150$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 1,162$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.19 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 836.89$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 80c | 778.99$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.37 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 19c | 743.93$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.7 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 19c | 708.65$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.01 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 19c | 499.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.43 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 410.08$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 20c | 382.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.69 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 19c | 359.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.59 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 76c | 289$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 11c | 244.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…2f74backed Yes | 43c | 237.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 7c | 154.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 19c | 148.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 145.38$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 19c | 114.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 112.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 14c | 100.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 56c | 84.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 79.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 48c | 78.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 14c | 78.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 58c | 58.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 29c | 45.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 44c | 44.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked No | 78c | 31.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-11?this page
- Will Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.