Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a8e46c9392b19cca99e9fd787560ab75e64012fc17e78f8758fe57d1956f236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 24c | 9,558$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,263.91 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 5,890$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.73 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 4,124$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.14 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 2,908$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 1,895$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.66 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 1,677$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.92 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,651$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed Yes | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed Yes | 23c | 979.93$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 18c | 769.89$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 488.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…93f9backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 393.4$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.12 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 76c | 353.85$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.93 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 24c | 299.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.94 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 282.37$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.27 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 222.23$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 77c | 193.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 41c | 171.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…d82abacked Yes | 24c | 170$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 24c | 168.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 162.49$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 160.35$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 22c | 155.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.23 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 148.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 77c | 141.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 77c | 140.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 77c | 136.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 76c | 130$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 39c | 112.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 22c | 108.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 69c | 103.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 100.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 23c | 91.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 12c | 84.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 76c | 80.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 77c | 72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 64.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 22c | 50.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 74c | 44.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 53c | 31.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked No | 56c | 30.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 27.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 67c | 23.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed No | 56c | 23.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 75c | 21.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.46per pick | 61cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 76c | 20.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked No | 76c | 19.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 77c | 19.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 79c | 16.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked No | 75c | 14.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?this page
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.