Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef83d15c38bf65c6c6dd10cea484c8de0b0d0c3f1f44f860b3f0fbe4b830b734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Yes | 23c | 20,000$4,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,566.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 4c | 9,747$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.66 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 3,369$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.6 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 77c | 1,750$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.5 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 1,305$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.53 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 79c | 1,197$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.28 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 17c | 658.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 77c | 650$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 77c | 650$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 77c | 450$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 18c | 349.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 20c | 325$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 77c | 240$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 7c | 212$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 175$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 18c | 148.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 17c | 147.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 20c | 129.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 11c | 94.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 21c | 69.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 18c | 56.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ed…9b0fbacked No | 80c | 25.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 80c | 18.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…9123backed No | 80c | 16.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf127…fd2cbacked No | 80c | 15.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked No | 79c | 13.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.