Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f6b25d13b175c795aa2fa5a481714637f5cadd90159fbc02e72d828fdf271ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 10c | 828.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7519…3bd5backed Yes | 12c | 777.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 693.7$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.77 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 644.94$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.04 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 42c | 451.8$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.09 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 376.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 13c | 352.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 341.5$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 9c | 299.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked No | 68c | 232.5$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 74c | 232.46$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 26c | 211.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 20c | 196.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 75c | 192.51$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…d82abacked Yes | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 25c | 179.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 150.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 143.46$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 26c | 135.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 19c | 121.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1d97backed Yes | 49c | 114.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 74c | 113.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 25c | 105.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 100.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 75c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 97.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 69.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 60.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Yes | 26c | 55.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 75c | 54.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 53.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 47.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…8be6backed Yes | 44c | 47.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 24c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 36c | 29.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 75c | 29.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 55c | 29.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 61c | 22.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…0353backed No | 70c | 20.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?this page
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-04-27?No won
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.