Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-04-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x025b42129ced8af3f221cd6d3342916db783d06eea4513fa2de2636365d2a8e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 15c | 2,721$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.47 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 1,638$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.62 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 13c | 630.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 519.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 16c | 517.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 9c | 512.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 16c | 499.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 15c | 497.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 17c | 279.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Yes | 16c | 267.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 8c | 226.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 20c | 208.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 18c | 191.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 15c | 149.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 23c | 137.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 9c | 118.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 20c | 93.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 15c | 90.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 83.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Yes | 15c | 82.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 72.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 80c | 72.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 15c | 69.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…6081backed Yes | 16c | 65.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 20c | 60.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 58.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 80c | 23.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 23.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 80c | 19.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-04-27?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?No won
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.