Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8f55197bdb722a3e7f4c3cb8d81c6b1640ad1be9abb028260ae7e9759571668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 45c | 33,389$15,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,107.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 57c | 16,880$9,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,319.11 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 54c | 11,445$6,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,264.7 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 41c | 4,635$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.95 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 2,626$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.12 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 2,412$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.18 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 55c | 1,750$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 55c | 1,592$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.44 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 41c | 1,017$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.39 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 40c | 955.97$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.39 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 930$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.59 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 928.4$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.85 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 55c | 650$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 55c | 650$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 55c | 572.2$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.49 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 55c | 450$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 54c | 429.01$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.35 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 61c | 401.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 41c | 371.22$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 42c | 363.8$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 55c | 292$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 55c | 290.11$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 37c | 273.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 259.59$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…93f9backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 61c | 230.97$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…d82abacked Yes | 42c | 230$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 222.69$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 202.51$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 43c | 167.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 43c | 157.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 148.3$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 39c | 142$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 45c | 135.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 19c | 122.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 22c | 110.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 58c | 97.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 46c | 88.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 56c | 83.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 71.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 56c | 64.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 43c | 64.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked No | 55c | 59.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 61c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 56c | 54.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Yes | 44c | 52.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 37c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 31c | 40.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 37c | 39.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d20…c3abbacked Yes | 40c | 37.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 55c | 36.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 56c | 35.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Yes | 47c | 33.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed No | 56c | 32.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 29.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…8754backed Yes | 47c | 25.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Yes | 44c | 23.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Yes | 47c | 22.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.