Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaad4c63e191b84e13fadf0ab3a5d2a9521b94ce6a32311b9b2a7d519e339d875
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 1,042$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.5 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.95 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked No | 75c | 795.92$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 716.04$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.49 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 36c | 530.55$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 460.05$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.11 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Yes | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 28c | 372.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 13c | 299.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 24c | 259.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 71c | 242.8$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 70c | 207.93$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 30c | 194.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 23c | 180$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 29c | 134.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 35c | 119.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 72c | 118.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 27c | 102.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 79.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 26c | 77.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 32c | 73.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 70.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 60.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 27c | 52.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 28c | 50.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…e4bdbacked Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +183.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 29c | 49.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…e483backed Yes | 28c | 49.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 34c | 45.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 27c | 43.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 72c | 38.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 72c | 34.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 70c | 23.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 72c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 74c | 22.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.