Tennis · resolved market
Kingston 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Max Purcell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3f1e43db2265709ad316976865663920e05a5fb5c206eb276523ba000611ae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Purcellof Igor Ribeiro Marcondes, Max Purcell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cd…841dbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 4c | 1,501$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Max Purcell | 70c | 1,427$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.69 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 17c | 1,140$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.58 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Max Purcell | 80c | 1,016$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.54 | 1,318 | 43.6%574 W · 744 L | -23.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8606…db26backed Max Purcell | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 11c | 785.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 13c | 766.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 29c | 721.35$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.39 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked Max Purcell | 71c | 670.42$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.42 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 29c | 487.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 380 | 47.1%179 W · 201 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 16c | 307.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 48.4%121 W · 129 L | +22.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 10c | 254.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 28c | 211.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 312 | 50.6%158 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 30c | 201.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 1,540 | 49.2%758 W · 782 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 32c | 184.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 29c | 181.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Max Purcell | 74c | 181$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 27c | 178.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 32c | 167.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 663 | 47.1%312 W · 351 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 24c | 163.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Max Purcell | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 443 | 59.8%265 W · 178 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 11c | 129.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Max Purcell | 71c | 123.77$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Max Purcell | 72c | 119$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 20c | 113.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 30c | 109.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Max Purcell | 77c | 104.7$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 647 | 53.9%349 W · 298 L | +32.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…9713backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 32c | 102.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…1e71backed Max Purcell | 71c | 90.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Max Purcell | 73c | 78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Max Purcell | 74c | 55.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1,371 | 44.5%610 W · 761 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Max Purcell | 75c | 53.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 141 | 70.9%100 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 26c | 51.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 30c | 49.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…d82abacked Max Purcell | 72c | 46.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 28c | 41.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Max Purcell | 72c | 37.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,830 | 57.7%1,056 W · 774 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…d6d8backed Max Purcell | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7f…c50abacked Max Purcell | 73c | 28.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Max Purcell | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…9072backed Max Purcell | 71c | 24.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Max Purcell | 73c | 20.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 509 | 48.1%245 W · 264 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Max Purcell | 67c | 19.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 267 | 64.8%173 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Max Purcell | 71c | 14.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.