TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,027 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes60c25,000$15,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,047.963354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No55c15,908$8,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,079.681,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204e…8d08backed Yes0c14,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No44c10,096$4,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,636.3929747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16d…97e8backed Yes9c9,920$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes6c5,560$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes62c5,555$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,444.0416543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c3,957$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.58,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c3,952$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.333,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Yes10c3,008$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.3425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes60c2,878$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.0312736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No41c2,138$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.4151749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes57c2,019$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.734332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No70c1,996$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.241,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes54c1,610$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.830841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes10c1,056$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.322817.9%5 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No64c1,010$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.782,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No40c900$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54312741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes60c832$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.25244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No38c784.68$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.7837851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No40c700$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42021849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No39c665.67$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.741,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No46c610.31$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.321,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes43c608.33$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.6484943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No45c566.66$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.29649%47 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes51c556.44$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9925625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes60c543$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.126543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Yes48c542.38$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-61.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No51c533.83$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.551,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes12c508.62$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.524617.4%8 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes56c490$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.42070%14 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+43.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes21c472.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e98…a64dbacked Yes9c461$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-51.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa40b…3418backed Yes31c377$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+109.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes55c358$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5711334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Yes17c353.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No72c313.83$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.713548.9%66 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes56c308.86$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6519630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No41c285$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.151,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No56c265.37$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.741,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No41c249.12$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.442,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ee…111bbacked Yes12c242.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No41c218.69$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.031,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb495…7c65backed Yes62c209.68$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303250%16 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes38c207.39$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3418160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No38c196.17$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6913545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No77c189.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1227442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ee…4841backed Yes62c189.11$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d88…480cbacked No39c168.52$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x152f…b926backed No39c158.53$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed No39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.852133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d44…2f97backed No39c153.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No38c152.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8517946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013041.5%54 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No45c139.41$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.123,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcc…de88backed Yes62c137.94$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No69c127.8$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.249535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes23c125.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8371619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No40c119.07$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.631,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked No57c116.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.212450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2f…a3d8backed Yes25c113.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.79825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Yes61c107$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-61.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Yes18c105.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6151654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd70c…3da8backed Yes62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-70.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5967548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes58c99.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.568560%51 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes20c96.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.243154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No40c95.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5521359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No40c86.6$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.961,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes12c85.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71c4…eb56backed Yes60c84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No40c83.54$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9850746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f4…36b0backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed Yes51c77.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes48c71.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0d…b02fbacked Yes59c66.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a3…3823backed Yes59c61.79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed No53c57.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.811428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes55c54.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.981,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.357133.8%24 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00db…a6fdbacked Yes59c52.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No38c52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2411448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3208…8f5dbacked Yes59c50.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6372…a842backed Yes38c50.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No41c49.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1221345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked No42c47.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.338655.8%48 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes47c46.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.154856.3%27 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No40c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…6c97backed Yes59c44.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d4…eb10backed Yes57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes28c43.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4310058%58 W · 42 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3835758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.