TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No72c13,909$9,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,949.6713744.5%61 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes28c10,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2005337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Yes28c7,000$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,059.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+89.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8892…52fbbacked Yes34c6,580$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,364.35333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c4,290$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.063,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c3,726$2,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,706.572,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes27c3,704$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.7837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No72c3,545$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.09875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No72c3,231$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,341.8941351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes28c2,284$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.063946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f24…9a68backed No73c2,226$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Yes27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.993641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked No72c1,800$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes47c1,667$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.23580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+82%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No54c1,481$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.6458548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes27c1,448$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.8749447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No72c1,129$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.361,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No72c1,125$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.468170.4%57 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes68c1,041$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.523956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes27c1,034$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.5819840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes55c1,020$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.0721950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No52c990.78$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.8112823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No72c972.22$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70017447.1%82 W · 92 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No56c944.29$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.451,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes49c872.09$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.9718956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No72c849.32$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.5119255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No74c800$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5922853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No73c706.85$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5169566.3%63 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c699.99$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.9748251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No68c662.23$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.1356439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c549.94$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.4375051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No71c520.98$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8428138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes40c503.57$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.91,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes27c444.44$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4410245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes40c436.66$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9192345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No70c419.42$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29510927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Yes52c419.23$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.23520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c411.29$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0763553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No56c410.94$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1939338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x555b…c93dbacked Yes61c407.42$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.421353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes66c400.45$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.152470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c399.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9963757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes27c399.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.9917159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c382.8$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.154,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked No53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes45c371.86$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.2513658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4583…6ca4backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.371118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes28c361.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.171020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Yes28c353.34$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+80.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8815062%93 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c342$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.661,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No73c329$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1715459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes65c308.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.525253.8%28 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No73c280$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.410760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes29c275.22$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.226048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No73c263.51$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.368246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes27c260.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.997337%27 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes40c260.1$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7898833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c259.51$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8583650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes27c259.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.263948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No66c258.93$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9833244%146 W · 186 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7237348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No73c245.51$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2240357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes29c241.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.381546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No55c224.64$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.660732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Yes67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.881457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes35c220.06$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2125872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked No73c209.96$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.271250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick58cpaid+49%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1462035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.445250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1467856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed No38c188.4$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.45283.6%1 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick17cpaid-67.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes28c178.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.521118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…f627backed Yes28c178.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.52911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes28c178.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.521216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes27c172.68$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0647653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.413330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No73c158.96$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.049167%61 W · 30 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x852d…c3dfbacked Yes73c150.68$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.682055%11 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed No72c142.29$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.885646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No74c125$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No74c124$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-62.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No72c111.32$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1528045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.45333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725644.6%25 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3619…6e7abacked Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes27c95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.35812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Yes28c93.46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.293135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.593551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.597927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes27c91.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3628847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Yes28c87.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.392055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes27c85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0582844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes26c83.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9769350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes41c79.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9368050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No65c76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.445841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.075427.8%15 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.