Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87c154b1344453ad7ee467464f69b1796a1cd3965f6fa00627af0a971e505b96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 32c | 12,508$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 9,686$7,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.2 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 4,402$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.54 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 3,129$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.89 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 67c | 2,280$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.77 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,089$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 1,356$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.83 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 32c | 1,187$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 19c | 1,006$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.08 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 817.26$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.76 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 68c | 646$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.13 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes | 30c | 636.67$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 604.1$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.64 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 566.22$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 499.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 73c | 436$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 28c | 413.53$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 33c | 299.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Yes | 33c | 296.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 80c | 270.4$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 206.22$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 18c | 204.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…2758backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 18c | 173.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 163.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…7766backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 33c | 145.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Yes | 34c | 144.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 106.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…f2fdbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e3cabacked Yes | 32c | 94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 26c | 93.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 33c | 87.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 79c | 78.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 20c | 66.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -11.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…d412backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 74c | 37.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 78c | 30.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 69c | 25.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…02ffbacked No | 69c | 20.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 75c | 19.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed No | 68c | 16.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 77c | 14.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.