Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea1a3d9a52c7c34c4e9e0d2c4cecd3f8d3de6765d1fcf8d9bbebea33dcdf7917
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 13,492$8,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,342.04 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…bf16backed Yes | 29c | 8,495$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 30c | 1,149$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.06 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 30c | 428.39$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 13c | 387.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…666ebacked Yes | 31c | 325.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 21c | 323.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 31c | 323.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…750bbacked Yes | 52c | 154.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…3fcbbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 54c | 64.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -16.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…55b1backed Yes | 30c | 62.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 37c | 34.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 19.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…12debacked No | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…a29dbacked Yes | 63c | 16.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…d717backed Yes | 77c | 13.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-13?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.