TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,138 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c12,992$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.162,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No70c5,948$4,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.346346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked No72c4,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9922551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No71c2,616$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.643158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes29c2,474$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.2296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes28c2,421$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.817543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No70c2,201$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.26437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c1,599$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.8298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No70c1,570$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4711872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c1,490$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes19c1,069$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No70c798.57$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.571258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054734%16 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c3a…e5d4backed No72c669.44$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.444100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes20c668.14$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.633237.5%12 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes27c494.78$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.444753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes30c490.17$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0535646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.543167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3cc…8675backed No71c402.82$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.82785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No73c400.01$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes11c365$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.57025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No71c350$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.515847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No71c344.8$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.992339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes30c340$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No71c300.01$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.526046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No71c280$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.214155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No75c262.86$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2349137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.528458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes17c247.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes12c242.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddf…814cbacked No72c233.33$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x876f…4f66backed No72c225$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes11c221.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.637240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c214$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9241943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b99…4960backed No72c212.5$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fcf…483fbacked No72c212.5$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.56100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f0b…0f92backed No72c209.72$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.725100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf1…e06bbacked Yes20c209.05$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x390b…78ccbacked No72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.33683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f8…ef29backed No72c201.39$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.394100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa526…ca1dbacked No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No79c199.61$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7117529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e76…3133backed No72c198.61$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.614100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes28c197.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.369826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04d…c86fbacked No72c195.83$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.83875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No71c190$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.111550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No71c170$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.311154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed No70c162.24$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.674557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eac…525ebacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…5a57backed No71c132.39$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes19c130.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2719…b81dbacked No71c129.58$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Yes30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.813650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.89252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes10c119$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4120431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x034d…9a99backed No71c118.31$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.31666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3968…0c50backed No71c115.49$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.49560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes28c113.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.73246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes30c110$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes29c109.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0499…c2a1backed No71c109.86$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9018…c0d1backed No71c107.04$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a8…c498backed No71c105.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.63366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb441…89a1backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes11c99.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117150.7%36 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes29c94.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2719542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fea…2370backed No71c87.32$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.424872.9%35 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Yes29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes29c62.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf27f…0329backed No71c61.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.97875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.48552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.47653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.47445.9%34 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.411652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.411153.2%59 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfb…9f00backed No70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.141457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No72c57.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.981782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec18…8eb4backed Yes28c50.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.18911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-85.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1423245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.55942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Yes28c45.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.671118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-70.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes30c35.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7616448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1223353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No70c26.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No78c25.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6731051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2514255.6%79 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8713160.3%79 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.877558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.