Mls · resolved market
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03ee5b7a3016d234e85e985d85b88c2e024ca7f23fc167b0714f5c01217baea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 44c | 23,773$10,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,460.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Yes | 56c | 14,998$8,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,555.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 44c | 7,268$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.83 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 6,297$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.36 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 5,167$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.76 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 3,343$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.49 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 8c | 2,280$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 6c | 2,204$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 44c | 1,954$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.65 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 36c | 1,689$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.97 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 67c | 1,557$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.75 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 1,296$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.68 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 44c | 1,176$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 26c | 1,055$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.23 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 65c | 1,052$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Yes | 57c | 1,050$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Yes | 49c | 1,014$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 19c | 926.1$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.87 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 903.8$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.05 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed No | 28c | 752.77$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.62 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 56c | 634.08$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.08 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 56c | 599.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 45c | 529.88$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.71 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 44c | 435.68$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 54c | 423$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 80c | 409.45$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed No | 45c | 397$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 56c | 357$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 55c | 308.05$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 54c | 262.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 49c | 227.35$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 52c | 198.07$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 55c | 189$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 45c | 184$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 18c | 160.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 58c | 140.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 23c | 125.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 37c | 117.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 43c | 108.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 50c | 99.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 56c | 93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 49c | 78.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 19c | 70.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 68.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 30c | 57.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Yes | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 47c | 44.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 59c | 42.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked No | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 59c | 36.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 56c | 35.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 34.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 59c | 27.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed No | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 68c | 21.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?No won
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.