Middle East · resolved market
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc219068987abc1c57ba3e8c74ad51f74bcb487c184a0b0befcbeeb9eb1ef0aca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 6c | 5,783$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.03 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…a5a6backed Yes | 11c | 4,683$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 3,982$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.49 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 3,544$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.32 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,231$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…b8c9backed Yes | 4c | 3,042$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0c…7899backed Yes | 11c | 2,781$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.31 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…e3a2backed Yes | 2c | 2,758$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 144 | 20.8%30 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,480$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 62 | 3.2%2 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 11c | 2,207$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.94 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a08…b114backed Yes | 4c | 2,162$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 2,111$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.26 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,942$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.09 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…f51abacked Yes | 30c | 1,942$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 59c | 1,900$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.19 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…4723backed Yes | 5c | 1,842$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 1,812$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.32 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 26c | 1,728$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.53 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,679$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,480$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,404$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 1,352$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,350$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 143 | 0.7%1 W · 142 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…5073backed No | 65c | 1,344$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.91 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 1,311$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 5c | 1,270$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -96.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 6c | 1,210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 68c | 1,190$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.12 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…0dbcbacked No | 66c | 1,113$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.22 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 50cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3e…a3a4backed Yes | 4c | 1,102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 14c | 1,100$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 38c | 1,056$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.89 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,046$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…aeb9backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…d5bfbacked Yes | 51c | 999.98$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 40c | 933.53$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.41 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 5c | 909.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…2d86backed Yes | 7c | 874.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…ca4bbacked No | 60c | 829.99$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…0b29backed No | 49c | 819.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.81 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 2c | 784.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…9cf0backed Yes | 3c | 779.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 8c | 770.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…b464backed Yes | 7c | 712.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…a976backed Yes | 7c | 682.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…d642backed Yes | 5c | 657.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1652…a501backed Yes | 14c | 649.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…20b1backed Yes | 2c | 648.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 115 | 1.7%2 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed No | 70c | 638.14$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.44 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 603.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…2fa6backed Yes | 14c | 572.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 47c | 547.93$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.89 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…ffbabacked Yes | 2c | 541.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 40c | 531.79$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.16 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aeb…0c42backed Yes | 3c | 524.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 59c | 509.23$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…25bcbacked Yes | 3c | 505.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…bb27backed Yes | 4c | 500.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 493.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 68c | 479.65$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.06 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe313…1c9bbacked Yes | 6c | 469.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 71c | 450$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 447.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…3880backed Yes | 4c | 438.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 133 | 21.8%29 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 56c | 430.37$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.87 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…119bbacked Yes | 71c | 423.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…f991backed Yes | 6c | 415.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1be…1613backed No | 57c | 408.46$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74de…78c8backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 23c | 400$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0282…d571backed Yes | 5c | 399.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 5c | 390.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 7c | 380.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed No | 68c | 362.59$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb01…097cbacked No | 57c | 348.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92f…eb24backed Yes | 58c | 344.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…2f4dbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…a40cbacked No | 56c | 320$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…df75backed Yes | 44c | 320$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52a…43abbacked Yes | 44c | 310$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…0377backed No | 56c | 310$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…ee5fbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989f…0af2backed Yes | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 45c | 288.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…e187backed Yes | 8c | 267.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94dd…7b9ebacked Yes | 40c | 252.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 56c | 251.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…4ef4backed No | 78c | 251.66$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…b75cbacked Yes | 8c | 250.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked No | 60c | 248.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…46c4backed Yes | 6c | 239$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…c016backed Yes | 11c | 237.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…365abacked Yes | 9c | 233.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 31c | 232.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 64c | 224.45$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.54 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79ce…fda8backed Yes | 9c | 221.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907e…8a7cbacked Yes | 12c | 220.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…fee6backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.