Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1dbc08cd02bf40a528a6e25726d04927fc6e01e26c7e227aaacfdf6fe4487f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95f2…3de3backed No | 0c | 35,847$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 13c | 15,023$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.79 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 6,844$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.66 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 73c | 3,374$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.88 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 27c | 2,985$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 9c | 1,798$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 72c | 1,590$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.28 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Yes | 70c | 1,444$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.18 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Yes | 71c | 1,318$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 17c | 868.72$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.32 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 22c | 660.59$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.23 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed No | 12c | 499.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 13c | 383$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 30c | 354.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…e58fbacked No | 30c | 293.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 20c | 289$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 30c | 286.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…f932backed Yes | 73c | 239.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 30c | 204.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 28c | 184.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…7219backed No | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Yes | 72c | 157.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 30c | 150.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…8719backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce44…627cbacked No | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 34c | 113.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…fbf2backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 29c | 96.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 27c | 95.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 23c | 79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 77c | 79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…de73backed No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 28c | 48.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked No | 35c | 40.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…a7f5backed Yes | 72c | 38.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…d97dbacked Yes | 71c | 37.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes | 68c | 30.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…7782backed Yes | 73c | 29.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448f…fcc3backed Yes | 73c | 21.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 68c | 18.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aef…ccfbbacked Yes | 73c | 17.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.