TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$244,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes41c167,402$69,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,058.3115647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No59c52,516$31,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,478.745250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c26,278$15,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,896.123,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c23,669$13,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,794.9147748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c16,827$9,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9831,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No60c10,958$6,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,383.015100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+115.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No59c8,100$4,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3212751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No59c7,901$4,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,276.4812451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4605147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No59c5,889$3,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,431.1113347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0502650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes58c4,844$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,809.773043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No59c4,450$2,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.6315341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6402360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No59c3,408$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.725149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No42c3,181$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.371,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No51c2,981$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.6412667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No77c2,346$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c2,103$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.7577751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes48c1,889$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.758560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed No43c1,772$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.21338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No64c1,659$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.1239567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes38c1,579$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No66c1,277$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.77044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes40c1,073$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.33145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No60c999.97$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.9942947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes18c978$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6545140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes20c922.97$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.431,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No62c849.99$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes22c720.44$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4326345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No58c651.55$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.7115144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No42c631$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.3428851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2466155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No60c587$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.84252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No51c585.1$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.4418967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes19c500$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8548344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No79c475.94$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.825652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No71c456.11$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4513950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes26c418.53$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9320535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No58c413$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7937649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1967564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes56c379$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.999239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes39c369.94$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1465232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes24c290$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0131834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes22c272$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4954949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes40c250.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Yes68c250$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c3…a583backed No57c235.94$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.04785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes49c233.61$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.126346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No58c228.78$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.094447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No59c205.01$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.345251.9%27 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No59c190$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8521545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No39c184.31$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7319847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes19c160.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8925934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes35c152.77$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.471323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-64.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c130.58$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes32c116.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4529370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes12c112$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4420641.3%85 W · 121 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed No59c107$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.872759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked No65c101.49$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.52922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-64.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed No59c101$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422065%13 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed Yes38c91.68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.84633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.216142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed No60c79.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.86966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc345…2c35backed Yes35c75.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No59c74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.344045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No49c70.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes41c70.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4226050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes19c70.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7424920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb03…ddcebacked No59c66.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.05580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No59c66.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7817858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No59c63.51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7853046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked No61c63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.571540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed No58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No76c59.61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.315549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked No59c58.76$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No51c58.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4312571.2%89 W · 36 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc297…b0d2backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No60c52.13$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.674259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No67c49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.146154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes62c48.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.593234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed No60c47.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.182142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes38c47.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes27c44.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed6a…841ebacked No59c42.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes60c38.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.173740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba59…5b57backed Yes31c38.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Yes39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e3…c0bbbacked No60c28.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.33450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No57c26.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3658043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked No60c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.461241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked No59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.311952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed No63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed No60c21.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.711947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No60c20.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.393250%16 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes53c19.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No58c19.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9913942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.