Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x880c90fdd47a9ec52426bb51438e696dae0c38f6c927f362c05f55b82c6d6542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09dc…e583backed Yes | 54c | 3,656$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 3,518$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.96 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 3,278$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.62 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked No | 28c | 2,000$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.43 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 18c | 1,248$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.3 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 29c | 1,027$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.15 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 46c | 946.76$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.25 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 52c | 770.98$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.07 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 40c | 645.84$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.95 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 638.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 57c | 594.12$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.74 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 67c | 551.64$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.89 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 54c | 540$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 535.28$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.24 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 75c | 470$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 15c | 430.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 364.45$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 27c | 330$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.9 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 24c | 311.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa770…c45cbacked No | 74c | 275.14$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed No | 59c | 258.95$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.63 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 222.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…0641backed Yes | 17c | 221.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Yes | 73c | 161.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…ac2bbacked Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 141.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 29c | 116.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 45c | 112.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 75c | 108.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 38c | 103.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 59c | 94.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Yes | 42c | 94.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 82.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 29c | 82.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 27c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 58.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 73c | 53.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 26c | 43.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 36c | 39.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…2034backed Yes | 74c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 56c | 29.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 55c | 27.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 39c | 26.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…688ebacked No | 74c | 26.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 67c | 24.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Yes | 48c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed No | 65c | 22.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…9947backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 55c | 19.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed No | 74c | 13.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?this page
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-02-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.