Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa593edd2e2a8dd775acef05d43de9e2eb339fdf9bf4b6fe20a825c95aaffc9e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 67c | 151,661$102,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,136.6 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 33c | 37,590$12,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,369.24 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 33c | 30,553$9,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,582.27 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 25,743$8,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,390.66 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 19,349$6,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,921.63 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 33c | 16,302$5,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,903.09 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 33c | 9,521$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,379.31 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 27c | 8,191$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,949.65 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 30c | 4,806$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,348.12 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 4,713$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.88 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 34c | 3,784$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.07 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 34c | 3,131$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.17 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 50c | 2,745$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.39 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 32c | 2,625$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.01 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 20c | 2,527$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.02 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +14.3wins | +0.26per pick | 21cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,482$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.66 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 33c | 2,112$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.03 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Yes | 34c | 1,786$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 33c | 1,716$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.49 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Yes | 32c | 1,400$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 14c | 1,362$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.31 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 30c | 1,354$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.43 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 49c | 1,219$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.68 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 25c | 904.64$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.56 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 32c | 750$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 60c | 737$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.92 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes | 32c | 734$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 71c | 716.27$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.55 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 59c | 691.93$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.33 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 31c | 592.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.17 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 32c | 566.94$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.81 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 55c | 542.07$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.58 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 35c | 478.04$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.28 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 16c | 458.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Yes | 57c | 413.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 408.31$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.49 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 47c | 397.14$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 40c | 396.12$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.23 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 348.22$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.13 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 33c | 298$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 282$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.94 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 279.8$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 277.56$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 43c | 266.24$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 264.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.15 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 57c | 261.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…29d4backed Yes | 58c | 259.86$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes | 16c | 254.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed No | 43c | 228.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed No | 53c | 218.82$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 32c | 207.34$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 44c | 206.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 64c | 180$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 18c | 173.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.41 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 33c | 149.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24be…8d08backed No | 69c | 145$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 32c | 137.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 130.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 78c | 129.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…b45fbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…2606backed Yes | 28c | 120.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 49c | 117$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 33c | 114.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 57c | 100.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 58c | 95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 26c | 80.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 36c | 73.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…3ed4backed Yes | 29c | 68.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +243.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…ddcebacked Yes | 33c | 65.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab1d…3204backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dca…f3cfbacked Yes | 33c | 62.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes | 32c | 61.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Yes | 41c | 60.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Yes | 34c | 59.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 40c | 59.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 33c | 56.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…8ff4backed Yes | 34c | 54.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 30c | 54.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked Yes | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 34c | 50.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Yes | 31c | 49.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 44c | 49.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 40c | 47.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 47.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 47c | 45.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Yes | 34c | 42.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Yes | 32c | 41.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…fe55backed No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will Portland Timbers vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.