Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c303dd6c7c0c12420c6ffda9001dd0e59592061f8e93cc3a4963cec30be9770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $455,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $455,952 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Under | 45c | 134,549$60,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,045.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Over | 53c | 117,118$62,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,011.22 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 56c | 35,606$19,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,666.76 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 28,861$16,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,458.12 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 56c | 22,569$12,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,956.1 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 55c | 21,550$11,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,781.21 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 47c | 20,005$9,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,402.35 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 45c | 20,000$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,899.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.98 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Under | 47c | 19,840$9,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,325 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 56c | 13,466$7,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,979.38 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked Under | 47c | 12,258$5,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,762 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 56c | 10,939$6,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,848.14 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 47c | 8,265$3,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.46 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.99 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a5…419dbacked Over | 55c | 6,690$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…bfd6backed Under | 47c | 6,140$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 55c | 5,853$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.13 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 55c | 5,098$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.2 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 47c | 4,444$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 45c | 4,178$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…80c9backed Over | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 44c | 3,621$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.67 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 57c | 3,400$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.57 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 55c | 3,200$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 22c | 2,816$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.08 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 57c | 2,642$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.98 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 2,573$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.59 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Over | 54c | 2,500$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Under | 45c | 2,497$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 46c | 2,173$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Over | 56c | 1,964$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…d6e4backed Under | 12c | 1,853$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d5…157dbacked Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Over | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 47c | 1,623$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 47c | 1,508$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.67 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 1,245$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.27 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 56c | 1,199$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.72 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…63d7backed Under | 45c | 1,140$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 56c | 991.07$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…2bb7backed Over | 56c | 964.29$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 55c | 918$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.1 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…c308backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…bd15backed Over | 55c | 860$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…762bbacked Under | 46c | 820$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…f2bfbacked Under | 46c | 730$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…a0f1backed Over | 55c | 720$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 56c | 720$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 53c | 708$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.76 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…608bbacked Over | 55c | 670$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e2…a56ebacked Under | 46c | 660$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…d4d2backed Under | 46c | 660$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75e…c325backed Over | 55c | 620$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c06…8478backed Over | 55c | 619.45$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 585.93$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.67 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 509.09$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.09 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 44c | 460$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 56c | 444$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 56c | 358.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Under | 43c | 333.82$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.54 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd56…dd56backed Under | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 45c | 316$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Under | 45c | 299.69$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 52cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 76c | 242.39$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 63c | 241.02$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Over | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Over | 56c | 215.49$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 56c | 210$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Under | 23c | 191.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed Over | 53c | 188.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…96f6backed Under | 48c | 171$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.