Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc98b77417bf21421eba1bf3d7abbdae3b82a4e68fc88d1f3a939ffaf637d6959
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0652…9134backed Yes | 0c | 32,387$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 7,040$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.37 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 5,423$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.49 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 5,230$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.95 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 4,644$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.72 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 43c | 4,313$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.58 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 41c | 3,902$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.82 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 66c | 1,419$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.35 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 63c | 692$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.45 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 57c | 620$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 36c | 589$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.04 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 66c | 509.59$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.58 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 464$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.89 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 12c | 428.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 62c | 381.21$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 13c | 337.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 336.58$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 65c | 300$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 271.35$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 258.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 42c | 179.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 65c | 161.87$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5048…4b29backed Yes | 17c | 149.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 29c | 139.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 9c | 120.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes | 44c | 112.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 95.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Yes | 28c | 88.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 57c | 84.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…a88abacked Yes | 54c | 73.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 40c | 72.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 57c | 67.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 46c | 66.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 27c | 66.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 39c | 65.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked No | 57c | 50.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…ae3ebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…f40ebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 60c | 40.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 39c | 34.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb6…76e9backed No | 59c | 33.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed No | 60c | 23.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 57c | 22.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 22.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 57c | 18.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 73c | 18.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed No | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will D.C. United SC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?No won
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-02-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.