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Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$280,861
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$292,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,861 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes50c133,773$66,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,134.0415647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed No50c73,300$36,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,650560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No36c58,332$21,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,099.4947748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes73c47,465$34,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,811.9177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes50c31,549$15,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,774.345250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c25,284$10,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,346.283,01843.6%1,316 W · 1,702 L-28.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed No50c19,972$9,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9861631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed No50c18,287$9,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,198.57757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No50c7,400$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70015341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No26c6,452$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.4545240.5%183 W · 269 L-18.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No51c5,601$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,856.552133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Yes50c5,197$2,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes77c4,160$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.92157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No26c3,552$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.247044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No51c3,295$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.2912451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No51c2,801$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.542941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed No50c2,598$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2991233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed No51c2,294$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Yes51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9805100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No50c1,874$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9374045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No51c1,689$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.012250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x916f…53babacked Yes48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No50c1,438$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes62c1,265$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No25c1,250$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3558043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No51c1,204$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.2642947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No49c1,056$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.771,27847.9%612 W · 666 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f63…4fe9backed No2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes47c982.11$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+82%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes66c953$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.418967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes50c940.42$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.8312667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c908.4$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4626445.5%120 W · 144 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes50c797.14$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.149250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No26c780.39$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3826346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No53c722.64$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes71c695.06$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.573966.7%26 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No34c516.61$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8555249.3%272 W · 280 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d5…d4d3backed Yes76c460.53$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes50c431$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4529370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.961833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Yes48c385.33$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.373762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No26c382.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.542846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes51c356.31$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.592931%9 W · 20 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes74c333.56$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.562171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c312.77$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2853346.7%249 W · 284 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1473551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes50c283.16$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x979a…468cbacked No7c281.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+71.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c271$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9437749.9%188 W · 189 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No47c256$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5237138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Yes47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.321384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+53.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes51c216.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.945626.8%15 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick29cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…2985backed No10c207.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No27c202.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.691,88836.5%690 W · 1,198 L-7.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003050%15 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No16c195$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.881,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed No29c186.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Yes73c178.08$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.08862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed No20c150.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.912213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-80.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No54c132.03$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6980558%467 W · 338 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed No29c121.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.961020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c14…ffa5backed Yes48c120.74$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes79c114.28$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.281384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes47c107.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.348446.4%39 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa6f…f5d3backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No52c96.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No49c91.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9613950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes70c89.55$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0597256.5%549 W · 423 L+71.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No29c89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8128851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes77c88.48$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.665549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No29c86.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3924920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Yes71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes51c77.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.431258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked No54c70.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.431540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes51c67.65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.153641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No50c59.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes80c52.82$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.564355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes50c51.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.525251.9%27 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes48c49.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5515051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes50c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2720648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No51c48.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7617858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes46c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8426050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No29c45.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5621545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c82…dca9backed No35c45.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes46c44.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.251233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes59c40.37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5539567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xb0cc…2ba1backed Yes50c40.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011046.4%51 W · 59 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.