TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Dallas win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes61c32,432$19,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,790.7177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes50c29,746$14,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,772.31233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No36c26,090$9,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,330.349239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No49c20,664$10,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,224.6447748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No36c15,051$5,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,412.673043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c9,212$4,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,407.163,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c6,146$2,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,771.6626345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No50c5,120$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,56013347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c3,600$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No50c2,797$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.4725149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No38c2,159$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.683234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No51c1,974$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No26c1,921$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.317044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No52c1,871$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.973663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked No38c1,424$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.191926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No25c1,376$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.4687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No25c1,275$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.0418967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No33c1,246$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.5945140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No46c1,227$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.4458043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked No40c968.51$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No29c887.97$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.128851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No26c842.56$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0729370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No40c800$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.583641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No26c769.37$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7239567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes46c768.12$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.163145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed No25c713.51$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.072213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-80.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No51c603$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Yes73c551.62$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.623050%15 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No31c542.47$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.221,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No55c522.67$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.8915144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No26c490.27$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6837138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes47c426$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7816531.5%52 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No34c420.27$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.341,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No29c388.06$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6431834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No51c374.81$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9226346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No51c366.9$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1215341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No36c354.45$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9454949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No52c340$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.84252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes46c306.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.235232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1472245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No53c271.33$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7580358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No34c263$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4212667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No28c247.94$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5413950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked No26c231.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.381250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11613243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes63c179.29$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2325652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed No56c177.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c172.38$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5337649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No28c170.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.42334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No51c140.31$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.565250%26 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes49c122.84$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2153046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No26c117.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9125934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9686…4303backed Yes72c108.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ec…27c4backed No26c102.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7f…2015backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed No21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Yes65c95$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.251573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Yes70c90$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes42c88.78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.641233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d59…811bbacked No26c80.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No48c75.83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.72728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-56.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked No55c69.87$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.431540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes47c66.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.113641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes46c65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.126050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No34c64.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.054045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No56c57.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.245549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No47c55.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.879740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes54c53.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7996756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe579…ba5ebacked No26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2515638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe856…4711backed No29c46.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-58.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x677f…1c6ebacked No26c46.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abc…509cbacked No44c45.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No58c45.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.412941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No29c41.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.114355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No28c37.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.391315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-61.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dca…f3cfbacked Yes42c36.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.33683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+72%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes64c35.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6119073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No49c32.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.331,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…5ce9backed No36c32.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed No50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed No51c28.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed No51c27.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No55c24.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.253250%16 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No57c23.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1621545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No52c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9620648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked No53c21.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.581353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb03…ddcebacked No51c20.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.414539.3%57 W · 88 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc989…ad9fbacked No53c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95dc…4b45backed No58c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.021154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.753740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked No63c16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.