Venezuela · resolved market
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e21762b3a747c82829f6a7e1d4d55c81afb6b2cb31768d781c129ee61dfcd38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa36c…eb6dbacked Yes | 73c | 4,672$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…9b9bbacked No | 18c | 3,345$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 11c | 1,431$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.41 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 1,263$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 1,208$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c5…521dbacked No | 48c | 1,144$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 58c | 1,101$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.36 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 45c | 975.64$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db9…4100backed Yes | 48c | 972.38$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90fa…78a0backed No | 26c | 822.75$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 66c | 731.73$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.58 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…6f1abacked No | 2c | 731.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 11c | 643$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x043d…e394backed No | 63c | 634.66$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 58c | 608.32$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c7e1backed Yes | 49c | 509.86$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7661…208abacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed No | 64c | 467.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked No | 45c | 460.52$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e6…2f95backed Yes | 63c | 442.03$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…c822backed No | 41c | 433.33$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 40c | 413.64$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…b348backed No | 48c | 406.41$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 60c | 393.94$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.47 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…e333backed Yes | 50c | 330.71$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 50c | 303.24$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 5c | 299.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 72c | 265.13$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed No | 48c | 260.93$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…9073backed No | 19c | 250$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…1cefbacked No | 48c | 248.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 73c | 248.5$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Yes | 36c | 247.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1667…cac2backed No | 43c | 234.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…8d6cbacked No | 10c | 223.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfd…6d5ebacked No | 46c | 218.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 46c | 213.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…191abacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdf…ee79backed No | 51c | 177.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 67c | 165.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 50c | 165.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…8eeebacked Yes | 65c | 154.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 66c | 152.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 54c | 150.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…6fddbacked No | 73c | 114.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…bffcbacked No | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…a044backed No | 71c | 113.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6e67backed Yes | 48c | 110.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa28f…710dbacked No | 73c | 109.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…4e57backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 52c | 107.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…9167backed Yes | 38c | 105.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…8e46backed Yes | 44c | 103.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d26…96dfbacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…63dabacked No | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 46c | 89.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…49e7backed No | 39c | 84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…9b91backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…6dfabacked No | 67c | 81.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…8edebacked No | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 60c | 79.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda5…77bdbacked No | 38c | 79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…6366backed Yes | 37c | 78.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…f8c4backed No | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked No | 45c | 72.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 49c | 71.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…618dbacked No | 45c | 69.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked No | 55c | 68.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…b503backed Yes | 67c | 66.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3531backed No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed No | 20c | 63.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff0…e6afbacked No | 74c | 62.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 43c | 62.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde60…7d62backed No | 50c | 54.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc044…f2cfbacked No | 45c | 52.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20d…adecbacked No | 71c | 52.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…a7e0backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e5…a9babacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc80b…4d0bbacked Yes | 29c | 47.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +248%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 49c | 46.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…1d92backed No | 44c | 45.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc0…8100backed No | 30c | 45.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 50c | 44.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…8260backed No | 45c | 44.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 44c | 44.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86ad…8b58backed Yes | 80c | 44.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…d29dbacked No | 45c | 43.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…ba50backed Yes | 31c | 41.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…c757backed No | 49c | 40.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f1a8backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…56c4backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…d632backed Yes | 34c | 38.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…18f1backed No | 69c | 36.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 66c | 35.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x728f…d43ebacked No | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4276…84e9backed No | 58c | 34.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?this page
- U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.