Venezuela · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ad23f876056721625aeac93c9286b2ac9c09d81dacf1d22e9938e3b8656f444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $370,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 1c | 83,925$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.23 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 0c | 11,314$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcc…dee9backed No | 0c | 10,679$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed No | 2c | 9,655$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…af0bbacked No | 6c | 9,311$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…3164backed No | 1c | 8,010$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 2c | 6,214$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 5,656$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 0c | 4,616$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…c8f5backed No | 0c | 4,602$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked No | 0c | 4,585$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda1…8cd6backed No | 1c | 4,505$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…adc5backed No | 6c | 3,180$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf48…d8c6backed No | 3c | 3,148$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 3,107$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 3,083$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…ccaebacked No | 1c | 2,838$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5827…48d6backed No | 0c | 2,700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…aa2bbacked No | 2c | 2,294$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed No | 1c | 2,116$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 2,066$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…ca4bbacked No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…248dbacked No | 3c | 1,984$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…1f12backed No | 1c | 1,908$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 1,871$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…7244backed No | 1c | 1,865$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe413…32d3backed No | 6c | 1,709$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…792dbacked No | 2c | 1,641$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…f8f9backed No | 2c | 1,606$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed No | 1c | 1,599$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3afa…d5b7backed No | 5c | 1,523$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…c5e3backed No | 2c | 1,502$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…64d0backed No | 3c | 1,452$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked No | 3c | 1,382$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 2c | 1,350$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae12…4271backed No | 1c | 1,346$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 2c | 1,343$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae2…05f2backed No | 4c | 1,241$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf207…17acbacked No | 9c | 1,236$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a2…bf61backed No | 2c | 1,229$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 9c | 1,212$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 4c | 1,139$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 4c | 1,123$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 1,116$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350b…9fe1backed No | 6c | 1,113$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…324dbacked No | 1c | 1,101$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5371…83ccbacked No | 5c | 1,100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e4…29debacked No | 3c | 1,098$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9a…0793backed No | 1c | 1,083$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…ea50backed No | 1c | 1,042$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 7c | 1,039$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 4c | 1,012$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…f7a9backed No | 6c | 974$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed No | 3c | 945.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed No | 11c | 801.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…6c82backed No | 13c | 797.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 8c | 796.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb3…1b48backed No | 7c | 775.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…385dbacked No | 3c | 750$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 5c | 699$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…e95abacked No | 3c | 692.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…05eabacked No | 1c | 682$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ab…614bbacked No | 3c | 677.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…ec8cbacked No | 17c | 666.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf84…8e10backed No | 9c | 654.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…3171backed No | 3c | 625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d7…f791backed No | 3c | 614.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…fc12backed No | 5c | 613.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 2c | 584.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dc…0af0backed No | 2c | 523.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…fe12backed No | 20c | 511.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 4c | 501.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fb…4fb7backed No | 21c | 487.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…d29abacked No | 8c | 438.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 435$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…4106backed No | 19c | 419.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 5c | 406.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5163…1250backed No | 2c | 405.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed Yes | 79c | 402.71$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…e8ccbacked No | 5c | 398.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…eceebacked No | 9c | 388.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda5…77bdbacked No | 9c | 376.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed No | 15c | 372.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…3067backed No | 3c | 349.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa97…4545backed No | 3c | 339.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…a46bbacked No | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59bc…3d81backed No | 17c | 304.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…ddbbbacked No | 8c | 287.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5827…1a71backed No | 20c | 285.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…35a7backed No | 7c | 280.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee4…25f7backed Yes | 78c | 276.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 6c | 273.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed No | 20c | 254.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…6576backed No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…5a1dbacked No | 13c | 243$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…5696backed No | 21c | 235.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.