TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$284,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$263,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,741 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6185…2965backed No63c34,613$21,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,813.23256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes38c30,000$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,4002339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes38c19,409$7,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,332.422,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No62c14,833$9,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,636.639856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No63c13,241$8,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.2619253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes38c10,500$3,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9459256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0389…3e49backed No63c8,310$5,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed7c…d596backed Yes37c7,999$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes35c7,368$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.62,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No63c7,000$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,59014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes37c6,874$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,543.3851750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes37c6,614$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.581,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No62c6,468$3,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,487.0224146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes23c3,977$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.9927141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes28c3,557$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.841330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes37c3,100$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1474553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No61c3,024$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.9815748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes37c2,999$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.7719729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9913…21cfbacked Yes35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No63c2,499$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.745949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked No68c2,300$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.42277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+29.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes37c2,050$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes37c1,975$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.6316050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes20c1,926$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.276543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes21c1,871$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.924,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes37c1,767$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.8613151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes20c1,724$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.742,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No63c1,611$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.239347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes38c1,600$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60822534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06b4…24d8backed No63c1,600$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+12.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfcf2…c73bbacked No63c1,584$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.081090%9 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.44per pick46cpaid+121.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.532158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No64c1,460$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.661,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes38c1,389$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.9510144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No62c1,335$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.491,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes38c1,300$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4949042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes37c1,282$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.3410951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No62c1,267$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.4572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c1,209$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.456,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb700…b06bbacked Yes28c1,187$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No70c1,162$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.7461143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes29c1,060$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.823531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes34c1,053$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.9725225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3804751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3809150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3706829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes38c999.99$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf44…0bbdbacked No67c982$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.062548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No69c982$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.6510341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked No62c977.42$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes35c920.49$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3206136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No63c900$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33730149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003125.8%8 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc690…bd15backed No63c810$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked No62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3045044%22 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed8a…4e15backed Yes38c800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed No63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.655822.4%13 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa948…b032backed Yes38c790$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8da0…13bebacked No63c780$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes35c771.74$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.1110029%29 W · 71 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes26c700$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1826936.2%25 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed No64c700$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25210751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506233.9%21 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes74c634.69$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.0769772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed No63c631.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.75050%25 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes37c599.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22530050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No63c599.99$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22223258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No63c599.97$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.1932453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No62c588.15$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.51,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes38c557.07$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5196443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes27c548.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.921957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3b…397dbacked No64c546.88$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd47f…997bbacked Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes30c501.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19028824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes38c499.12$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.671,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x461b…1fb4backed Yes39c487.18$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes26c470.65$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.681,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes37c445.95$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16516233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes38c426.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8395…377cbacked Yes38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Yes38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes4c388.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1461441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89fe…8d55backed Yes28c388$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.641637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27bf…f0a8backed No61c382.38$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes26c381.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2823632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No73c380$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6341343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Yes6c380$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234129.3%12 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No62c374.96$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4813327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes33c349.18$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9510053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes36c324.68$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70e8…f9a2backed Yes37c323$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51a8…610cbacked Yes39c321.59$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes20c313.63$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6731747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No68c303.44$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.128062.5%50 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x765c…f214backed Yes39c300.94$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.