Mls · resolved market
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed29c17d5f78e85f92317965da1280395c89a3bafa317d8f2637521d6a1d4f52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 5,125$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.04 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 68c | 4,554$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.25 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b69…e094backed Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 70c | 1,984$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.04 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Yes | 73c | 1,720$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 31c | 1,387$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 31c | 1,177$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.48 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 69c | 1,167$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.37 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 79c | 1,100$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 32c | 838.41$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.29 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes | 69c | 797.1$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 759.7$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.59 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 30c | 750.33$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 12c | 745.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 22c | 637$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…2a50backed Yes | 71c | 601.41$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes | 71c | 470$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 69c | 408.23$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…814dbacked No | 30c | 322.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 71c | 249$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 227.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 223.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Yes | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed No | 31c | 216.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 31c | 209$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed No | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 30c | 198.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 30c | 184.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 31c | 175$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 33c | 149.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Yes | 71c | 135.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 70c | 108.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 29c | 104.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…cf96backed Yes | 71c | 104.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…d12abacked No | 32c | 94.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes | 66c | 76.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275a…4d33backed Yes | 71c | 76.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked No | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6d…1e14backed Yes | 69c | 72.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 30c | 67.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…2784backed No | 30c | 63.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 46.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 31c | 44.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 78c | 40.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed No | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1192…ed52backed Yes | 68c | 36.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed No | 32c | 35.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Yes | 71c | 33.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed No | 32c | 32.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd984…70a3backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.