Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6995a3a46c97cad3f621a46d1141f94d78a6184d999a7648735bbbbdb5812c13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,575 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 46c | 12,242$5,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,665.43 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 51c | 11,032$5,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,383.48 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 44c | 6,437$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.09 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 53c | 5,770$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.73 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Yes | 45c | 5,111$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 43c | 4,253$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.15 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 42c | 4,180$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 47c | 4,033$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.46 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 42c | 3,983$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.29 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 54c | 3,900$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 3,222$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 2,983$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.63 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed No | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 2,044$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.45 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 55c | 1,752$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 45c | 1,235$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.44 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 55c | 1,132$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 55c | 657.5$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.63 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 44c | 620.91$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.71 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 44c | 567$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.52 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 545.6$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.37 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 45c | 472.69$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 49c | 470.21$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.1 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 43c | 468.75$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.9 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 433.4$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 52c | 429.45$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.63 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 45c | 380$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 44c | 330.84$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.38 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…cea8backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 44c | 287.8$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 48c | 263.96$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 42c | 230$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…8d55backed Yes | 45c | 228$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7d…224cbacked Yes | 45c | 224.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 55c | 218.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 44c | 217.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.72 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 44c | 169.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 47c | 168.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 71c | 142.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 55c | 134.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Yes | 44c | 127.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed No | 40c | 126$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 44c | 119$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…7ff1backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5a…166fbacked Yes | 45c | 110.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 44c | 107.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 79c | 107.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 104.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 55c | 92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 68c | 91.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked No | 56c | 89.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed No | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…79e8backed No | 51c | 81.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed No | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…08a4backed No | 56c | 78.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed No | 16c | 72.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 45c | 70.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…4880backed No | 59c | 65.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…1363backed Yes | 45c | 65.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.46per pick | 42cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 56c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Yes | 43c | 50.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…f731backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097a…13a4backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 44c | 46.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 56c | 46.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8458…b67abacked Yes | 45c | 46.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4a…0561backed Yes | 44c | 45.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Yes | 44c | 44.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…05fcbacked No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Yes | 45c | 44.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e64…673bbacked Yes | 46c | 43.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will Samsunspor vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.