TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,523 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes55c223,234$123,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,213.9415647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No44c64,867$28,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,593.8812451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No46c41,008$18,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,863.681752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No44c18,091$7,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,920.3747748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c16,908$7,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,111.973,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c11,225$5,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,214.31,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed No46c10,966$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,998.8630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No45c9,253$4,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1714942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No46c8,000$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,639.994035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes55c7,604$4,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.293145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No44c6,522$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844.2525149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No45c6,449$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.962133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No44c6,306$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.521547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No46c5,652$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6002934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No46c5,542$2,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5458946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No43c4,423$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.835250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No6c4,000$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.362360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No46c3,794$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.1337138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5055054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No46c3,145$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.791233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c2,754$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.2777751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes54c1,766$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.7223643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No46c1,680$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.8110%0 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6455251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed No46c1,480$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Yes75c1,204$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.95560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No45c1,187$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.0842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9c…2a50backed Yes57c1,057$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.11369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No45c921.14$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.368550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No44c899.99$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3962250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No25c801.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3688661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3224843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No35c697.37$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.56936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6f…f414backed No25c568$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No43c560.36$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.952937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes57c533.2$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.17683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes56c530.94$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.94977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+63.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2154456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked No43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No43c499.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2154650%23 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes57c490.4$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8241339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes59c488$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.653333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes57c446.51$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.432343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No45c427$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.14252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c97…988cbacked No35c424$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No47c405$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7937649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1643551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No26c374.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2921545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes56c374.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.53426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes59c373$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.12850%14 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No45c370.28$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No47c366.31$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.382147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed No13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No46c275$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.259957.6%57 W · 42 L+13.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11555750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes65c243.61$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1626346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No13c240$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No44c237.49$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x068b…2106backed Yes56c232.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked No44c227.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed No44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No45c225$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2514129.8%42 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No43c225$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.754656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No44c216.3$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.413942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked No43c216$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.881573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20b3…a273backed Yes57c212.84$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes49c203.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.284553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No16c197$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5248344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No46c196$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6254949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66cb…f219backed No44c190.23$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba16…ced4backed No44c180.67$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No51c180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.824351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5710853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c4e…3131backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No11c160$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.231834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8288…f291backed Yes57c158.06$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.58653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.56256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.519657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked No45c143.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fd…f3dcbacked Yes56c140.35$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No44c137.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.475250%26 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1726…1ad4backed No45c135.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No43c125$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.755257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No46c124.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.819740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No44c121.8$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5910648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes59c118$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No43c115$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.455651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Yes56c114.04$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.18955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No43c110$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.36256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed No46c108.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed No47c105$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.351127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No47c103.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.574052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No43c102.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes57c101.93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4953046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89d8…332bbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.94247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.