Mls · resolved market
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33af82c7dfd76d224db69d42106c4864a8367fdecb944844cbe2df550dc0c3d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,048 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 66c | 2,958$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.9 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…2a50backed Yes | 69c | 2,364$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…d527backed Yes | 67c | 1,564$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed2…e7ccbacked No | 33c | 1,562$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 8c | 882$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 584.09$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 32c | 442.65$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.74 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 15c | 364.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 33c | 304.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 38c | 293.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes | 67c | 223.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 68c | 220$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 34c | 174$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 32c | 153.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 67c | 127.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 31c | 122.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 33c | 86.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 67c | 84.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 32c | 80.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Yes | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 34c | 41.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 33c | 40.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 32c | 39.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 34c | 38.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a6…ca4bbacked Yes | 63c | 34.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 67c | 34.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae86…a294backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…20b2backed Yes | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 61c | 28.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…9da5backed Yes | 67c | 23.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…dcfabacked Yes | 67c | 22.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 68c | 21.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…2c11backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 74c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 68c | 16.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.