Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b0cdb1965a64f5f4df2be308ec369935047bd81b8745bad0684372593e1fac5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 39c | 58,766$23,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,669.22 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 61c | 32,000$19,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,439.84 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 60c | 19,780$11,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,868 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 77c | 15,606$12,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,016.41 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 60c | 13,225$7,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,998.39 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 41c | 13,001$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,670.35 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 12,783$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,637.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 36c | 10,996$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,027.95 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 61c | 5,892$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.37 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 44c | 5,500$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.69 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 41c | 3,469$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.86 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.99 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 2,357$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.12 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 29c | 1,926$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.13 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 60c | 1,905$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.92 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 25c | 1,749$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.96 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 33c | 1,410$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.98 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 21c | 1,358$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.88 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,225$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 57c | 1,216$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 30c | 1,100$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.03 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 47c | 1,048$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.28 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 39c | 1,005$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.56 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 61c | 645$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.2 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 64c | 622.26$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.97 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 78c | 587$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.05 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 64c | 536.48$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…d13abacked Yes | 67c | 515.26$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 34c | 502$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.32 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed No | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 65c | 500$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.5 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 62c | 486.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 35c | 476.87$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.4 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 27c | 464.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 22c | 325$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…592fbacked Yes | 77c | 313.64$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…8dbbbacked Yes | 29c | 310.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 66c | 306.87$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 34c | 300.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.42 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 61c | 296$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.56 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 32c | 285.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 34c | 276.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.76 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed No | 37c | 249.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 34c | 227.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes | 34c | 220$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 78c | 219.09$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.33 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd8…12fcbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf7…a823backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…0906backed Yes | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Yes | 59c | 191.81$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 60c | 174.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…63b7backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 64c | 159.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 51c | 157.92$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 36c | 155$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…24b0backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 28c | 140.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 137$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…7496backed Yes | 66c | 125$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…5cb6backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 41c | 111$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 34c | 109.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 46c | 108.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 65c | 107.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed Yes | 44c | 106.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…d120backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 21c | 99.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 21c | 96.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 65c | 88.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 24c | 84.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Yes | 21c | 78.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 26c | 75.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.25per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked No | 63c | 68.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee51…1570backed Yes | 61c | 67.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 36c | 64.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 33c | 59.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…9ec1backed Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…2f8bbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.