Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94254a16963864661b031c34d6b64f2892e176733025aa4f4dcff31b8bb9ce98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 3c | 1,141$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 43c | 970$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.9 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 946.45$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.4 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 76c | 753.28$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 7c | 741$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 62c | 593$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.96 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 78c | 566$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.48 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 20c | 530.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.28 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 489.61$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.37 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 62c | 467.16$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.67 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 38c | 461$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.38 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 53c | 295.59$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 77c | 233.9$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 19c | 217.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.53 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 66c | 201.97$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 21c | 180$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 28c | 179.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.49 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 78c | 176$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 26c | 147.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…3a6cbacked Yes | 22c | 110$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 54c | 92.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Yes | 67c | 60.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Yes | 74c | 59.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 45c | 54.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…3dd6backed Yes | 21c | 54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…724bbacked Yes | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 39c | 37.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 71c | 37.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 75c | 34.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee51…1570backed Yes | 75c | 18.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…968fbacked Yes | 79c | 13.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 13.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.