Other European Leagues · resolved market
PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x246d391a34880db4e356a6e64a11718778f59076344bb6b096d0cba86d755cd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 2,323$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 60c | 1,641$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 35c | 782.12$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.02 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 357.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.87 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 275.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.78 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 36c | 229.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 190.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 14c | 169.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 63c | 79.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 65c | 71.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 63c | 67.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 49c | 47.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 41c | 45.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f87…f2d8backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed Yes | 64c | 30.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5Under won
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5Under won
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5Under won
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)PEC Zwolle won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)PEC Zwolle won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-2.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.