Other European Leagues · resolved market
PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd04fb9cd052f47fba9eedcbc4117f504a51c304014dfa8fa27907f1da969b1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 60c | 43,473$26,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,389.36 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 29,985$9,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,892.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 40c | 8,100$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Over | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 9c | 2,516$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.17 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 25c | 1,250$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.25 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 1,081$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.73 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 930.4$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.16 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 24c | 717.08$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.1 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 26c | 680.77$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 40c | 604.8$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 552.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 36c | 505.02$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.42 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 9c | 404.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 40c | 403.1$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.04 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 40c | 355.79$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.98 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…0bd2backed Over | 41c | 269$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 40c | 229.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 60c | 183.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…85debacked Over | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 30c | 140.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…4865backed Under | 59c | 136$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0730…a73fbacked Under | 59c | 133$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…b320backed Over | 17c | 91.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 42c | 85.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 58.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 40c | 44.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa665…4234backed Under | 61c | 32.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…d0d2backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Over | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…2539backed Over | 41c | 25.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…c8d1backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…3fccbacked Under | 60c | 18.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…c407backed Under | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5this page
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5Under won
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5Under won
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)PEC Zwolle won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)PEC Zwolle won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-2.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.