Other European Leagues · resolved market
PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x176b831f73cf2fa4aa42335307090c1c2084fae8054cdb39b64c1b9bdcdc1200
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 15c | 4,035$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.93 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,208$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 16c | 2,687$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.28 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 16c | 2,184$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.93 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 2,056$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.49 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 34c | 1,099$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.02 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 54c | 931.21$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.84 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 18c | 681.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Over | 16c | 555$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 50c | 514.76$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.35 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 55c | 463.79$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.91 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 70c | 427.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 415.4$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.77 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Over | 15c | 360$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 57c | 353.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 15c | 350$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 53c | 236.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.91 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…775fbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 19c | 131.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 16c | 124.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 70c | 122.86$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…1d66backed Under | 17c | 120.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 16c | 117.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…3ed5backed Under | 65c | 113.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 64c | 105.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 100.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 56c | 89.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…a4d2backed Under | 65c | 76.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 70.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…4e6bbacked Under | 58c | 68.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 31c | 58.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 20c | 53.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 60c | 40.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…3544backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 40c | 25.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…a57bbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc7…6371backed Over | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…ed97backed Under | 78c | 13.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5this page
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5Under won
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5Under won
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)PEC Zwolle won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)PEC Zwolle won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-2.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.