Other European Leagues · resolved market
PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0b70ee41df91c2b09e990243e21f3544029d527b704db9dbf6160bb23284663
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 12,995$6,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,268.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Over | 64c | 4,750$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 58c | 3,440$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.19 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 1,637$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.13 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 1,056$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.28 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over | 64c | 882.81$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 29c | 800$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 41c | 799.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 36c | 782.22$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.99 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Over | 2c | 713$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 22c | 658.18$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 612.09$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.24 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Over | 63c | 499.22$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 479.22$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.09 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…db57backed Over | 65c | 336.37$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 19c | 270$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 236$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 64c | 234.71$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 50c | 214.15$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 36c | 169.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 64c | 164.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 51c | 136.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 21c | 130$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Under | 49c | 127.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 37c | 125$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 37c | 125$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 36c | 124.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 50c | 103.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 64c | 93.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over | 64c | 91.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 60c | 69.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 62c | 66.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 22c | 46.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 42.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Over | 30c | 36.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 39c | 33.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab42…9807backed Under | 37c | 29.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 59c | 19.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…b704backed Over | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5this page
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5Under won
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5Under won
- PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)PEC Zwolle won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)PEC Zwolle won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-2.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.