TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$261,132

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,030 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked No50c39,994$19,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,997633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No50c30,111$15,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,055.35250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes50c27,871$13,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,935.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes50c21,994$10,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,9973452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes73c19,457$14,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,253.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes53c14,095$7,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,614.671553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Yes50c12,584$6,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,292683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes50c11,192$5,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5964751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes49c9,733$4,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,987.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No44c8,342$3,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.431834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes50c6,856$3,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,428.831,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No49c5,335$2,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,638.7225149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes57c5,307$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.19239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0134…12d2backed Yes50c4,174$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed No50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9603056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No44c3,861$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.851,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c3,209$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.3377751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ce…8296backed No39c3,078$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c2,930$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.623,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes50c2,600$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30015341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No53c2,296$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.3287154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c2,261$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.5323643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Yes48c2,082$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes50c2,046$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02312451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes64c1,552$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.432552%13 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes65c1,539$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.545232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes50c1,510$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75520648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No26c1,256$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.7745140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes66c1,000$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.8439567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked No53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No40c833.23$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.5528851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Yes50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No52c760.37$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.397044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes46c755.79$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.145131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No51c748.63$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.222846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes53c679.18$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.258043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No26c671.91$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.961,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005326.4%14 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes64c600$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5529370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb700…b06bbacked Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes48c382.91$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4326050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc6…379fbacked No54c351.87$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf620…e12dbacked No54c349.15$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x016b…d0fbbacked No54c342.48$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2632…d37dbacked Yes47c340.01$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd36d…bee3backed No51c338.31$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0268…b8b2backed Yes47c337.6$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…f509backed Yes47c331.42$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes61c328.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.86785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No50c315.58$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7213942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7118…a2a5backed Yes51c312.39$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No41c299.88$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9319847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9a6cbacked No36c298.17$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.67520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed Yes51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c274.66$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.153046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f48…cd03backed Yes51c266.71$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.691163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1253551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes48c230$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No38c220.57$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1454949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes49c219.88$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.06683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes67c215.06$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7413950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75c…86d0backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014129.8%42 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7789…14c0backed Yes51c200$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes51c188.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.231752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes50c184$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1637649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No53c178.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7137138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1577…a02abacked Yes51c176.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes60c169.61$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5796756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes50c162.6$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.715626.8%15 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick29cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes51c162.59$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6711046.4%51 W · 59 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes57c150.46$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.671926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes49c143.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.734553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked No53c142.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4710046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No41c138$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5741339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Yes58c123.14$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.145362.3%33 W · 20 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+31.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked No50c122.02$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Yes48c116.56$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.612437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes50c115$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.54650%23 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Yes64c109.71$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.611681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172070%14 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+67.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa6f…f5d3backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62da…2fdabacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e40…3b52backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf54a…9dd8backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No41c90.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52528%7 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes48c89.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.582937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.