TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3625…1187backed Yes33c5,878$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,958.531442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No9c3,829$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.691,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No16c2,787$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.6920431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c2,433$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.1493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3605160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No55c1,805$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.1322743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No36c1,582$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.1249850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No67c1,312$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.21181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+67.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbab7…6ac6backed Yes77c1,088$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked Yes71c1,077$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58d4…aa98backed Yes33c1,076$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+51.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c977.93$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.2235646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No55c908.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.942867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes46c841.64$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.8232650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No67c778.71$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.7436456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes49c695.66$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.341144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No32c525.7$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.16924.6%17 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes31c469.32$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.2649137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes33c436.27$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.31546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No34c423.71$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0612035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No67c419.29$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.7322551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x919f…bfbebacked Yes74c411.46$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No41c410.6$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1512044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No67c400.6$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.441954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x840e…b9edbacked No54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No52c376.17$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.614337.2%16 W · 27 L+7.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+285.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No7c344.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.12911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-85.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No30c318.29$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3411053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes62c315.23$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.791369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4829…97ebbacked Yes30c314.96$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.14580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No36c300.29$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.397160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes33c290.85$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.878644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No7c287.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0914936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No67c276$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9214258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb70…e2dcbacked Yes18c274.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+464.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes36c267.11$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.957538.7%29 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No67c264.18$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17715050.7%76 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes79c263.38$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.721266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No67c250$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.515354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No28c221.35$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.482642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed Yes44c219.61$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No56c215.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0820749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No22c206.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5518125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Yes33c203.59$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.416569.2%45 W · 20 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13432854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No5c194.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.612142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes64c181.04$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5212350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No67c180$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.623353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes33c171.62$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9911127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes32c158.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.894148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes59c151.53$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.832,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No67c150.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1741854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes33c145.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.434050%20 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes37c134.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.871353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No80c133.38$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.722373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x50d3…bad4backed Yes74c133.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.59875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed9d…444abacked Yes32c124.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No67c108.72$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8439354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No34c107.15$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2918253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes14c100.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.026950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No57c99.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9915357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes74c99.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.992962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes33c98.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.266628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes33c95.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3126747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked No19c94.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.143243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf028…0ef3backed Yes33c93.07$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No67c91.82$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5210549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed No54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.62520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid+100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce2…9787backed No25c89.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes68c88.27$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8643058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed No56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.682828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed No68c84.35$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.361330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+61.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No38c82.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.514553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c81.07$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Yes20c75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+76.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes38c74.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.423246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes33c72.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.726822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked No68c72.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.044337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes71c68.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7413658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Yes44c65.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.087252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No67c61$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8717142.7%73 W · 98 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Yes20c60$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483030%9 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+110%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b3e…b265backed Yes43c56.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f43…68d8backed Yes33c53.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.61758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes22c52.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.124238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed No34c51.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.22544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3432150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.52937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed No67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.54955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes33c43.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.231338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No68c39.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1121054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No68c39.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.024163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No67c39.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.478354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes56c38.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2920452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Yes38c38.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.561947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe590…9f58backed No67c36.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3430%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbd2…b368backed No54c34.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.