Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c485ca886850fe29881dffb1373c993b9b6ec3e193e71acfde1fba45e269f08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,144 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 3,164$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.43 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 25c | 1,999$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed No | 70c | 1,783$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 23c | 1,249$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.77 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 28c | 1,041$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.9 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 30c | 911.21$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.89 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed Yes | 50c | 522.2$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3b…ecf0backed No | 76c | 440.41$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 191.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 48c | 138.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 78c | 89.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…cc23backed No | 55c | 83.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 29c | 80.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 51c | 78.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed No | 48c | 76.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…11f3backed No | 57c | 61.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…5ab7backed No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 51c | 40.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 40.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed No | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…f93bbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed No | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed No | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.