Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c19f6e4489d7d1a57edbe5504221d30933d9587bf14ec65187d3e1b105004cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Racing Club de Lensof Racing Club de Lens, FC Metz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,999 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed FC Metz | 68c | 32,713$22,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,125.56 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Racing Club de Lens | 34c | 29,750$10,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,549.17 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Racing Club de Lens | 32c | 18,790$5,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,797.35 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed FC Metz | 68c | 11,000$7,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,479.97 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Racing Club de Lens | 32c | 8,900$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,046 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed FC Metz | 68c | 5,049$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed FC Metz | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed FC Metz | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.35 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked FC Metz | 27c | 1,353$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.79 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed FC Metz | 68c | 1,200$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.99 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FC Metz | 67c | 732.41$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.72 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed FC Metz | 69c | 699.98$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.99 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Racing Club de Lens | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Racing Club de Lens | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Racing Club de Lens | 33c | 284.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.88 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Racing Club de Lens | 33c | 266.47$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.6 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked FC Metz | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FC Metz | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Metz | 69c | 250$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC Metz | 68c | 248.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.31 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf6…4eaabacked Racing Club de Lens | 32c | 198.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Racing Club de Lens | 33c | 172.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.22 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed FC Metz | 69c | 165$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Racing Club de Lens | 33c | 157.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed FC Metz | 68c | 156$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…089bbacked FC Metz | 68c | 145.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Racing Club de Lens | 33c | 121.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed FC Metz | 69c | 108.04$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed FC Metz | 69c | 87.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed FC Metz | 69c | 78.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Racing Club de Lens | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Racing Club de Lens | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked FC Metz | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Racing Club de Lens | 31c | 59.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…6f8cbacked FC Metz | 68c | 53.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Racing Club de Lens | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed Racing Club de Lens | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Racing Club de Lens | 32c | 47.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 47.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Racing Club de Lens | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Racing Club de Lens | 32c | 44.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed FC Metz | 69c | 39.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Racing Club de Lens | 32c | 31.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed FC Metz | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…4cc6backed FC Metz | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236e…338abacked FC Metz | 69c | 27.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed FC Metz | 70c | 18.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked FC Metz | 69c | 17.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked FC Metz | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed FC Metz | 69c | 15.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.