Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec537d3ec96936c4ce4a32adeb32b51aee41ff40cafaa543154f49233a3066be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,464 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 66c | 18,996$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,495.95 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 10,867$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.89 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 34c | 10,332$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.22 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 80c | 7,610$6,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 35c | 2,014$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.86 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 58c | 1,977$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 1,160$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.48 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 33c | 1,087$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.71 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 34c | 941.61$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.15 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 33c | 804.54$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.5 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 551.38$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.66 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 48c | 505.72$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.83 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 66c | 458.82$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 35c | 450.95$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.89 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 34c | 381.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Under | 36c | 257$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 58c | 255.17$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 37c | 254.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79a…a3c7backed Under | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 33c | 149.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 56c | 130.04$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 62c | 98.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 67c | 80.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 57c | 72.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 33c | 65.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 21c | 60.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 58c | 53.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…5587backed Over | 57c | 53.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 33c | 51.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Under | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 36c | 45.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…9e41backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…6c63backed Under | 36c | 39.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 61c | 34.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 45c | 33.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 30.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…e37cbacked Over | 56c | 29.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Under | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a11…ea12backed Over | 64c | 26.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Under | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cae…db7fbacked Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…81c5backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5561…10dabacked Over | 65c | 20.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 60c | 20.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x571b…cb0bbacked Over | 65c | 18.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.