Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2769b693c819315521f0b2406ed700cb2e2ff153b52c7879fc20d953101a366c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,051,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,051,404 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 45c | 507,363$228,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228,275.81 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…b778backed Under | 56c | 267,061$149,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,764.84 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 55c | 135,000$74,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,750 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 55c | 70,000$38,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,500 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 55c | 70,000$38,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,500 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 55c | 34,879$19,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,658.76 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 34,376$18,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,393.41 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 44c | 28,573$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 54c | 19,342$10,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,897.49 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 44c | 18,696$8,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,226.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 17,412$8,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,329.59 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under | 56c | 11,783$6,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,184.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 44c | 10,010$4,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,435.54 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 44c | 9,114$4,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,037.53 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 44c | 5,704$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.5 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.85 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 2,964$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.23 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 58c | 2,648$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.29 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 55c | 2,300$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.33 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 47c | 1,748$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under | 59c | 1,126$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 46c | 1,031$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 56c | 937$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.28 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7f…3ef5backed Over | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 55c | 900$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 44c | 769.02$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.97 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 65c | 740.84$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.56 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 37c | 646.62$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.02 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 56c | 629.73$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a48…498cbacked Under | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 71c | 604.77$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 55c | 600$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 51c | 590.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 55c | 533.11$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 44c | 529$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.76 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda4…d5dbbacked Over | 71c | 466.94$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Under | 56c | 437$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…54fabacked Over | 21c | 428.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 414$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 55c | 371.74$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 336.92$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.24 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 57c | 291.54$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.04 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 23c | 291.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 33c | 288.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Under | 73c | 287.67$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 44c | 265.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 63c | 238.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 25c | 236.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 55c | 230$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Over | 23c | 227.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 45c | 222.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 45c | 222.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 33c | 211$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 55c | 209.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 55c | 208.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 207.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 45c | 186.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…123cbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Under | 58c | 172.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…b596backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 50c | 157.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Over | 45c | 146.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Under | 72c | 135$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 55c | 135$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ded…7a41backed Under | 57c | 130.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.