MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3223a255ec5f7c0939fdcb49fc73a1b058a0daeda5c2fa8a9a3038940a04594a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Brewers, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $386,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $391,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cdd…c765backed Brewers | 49c | 33,100$16,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,219 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…c547backed Pirates | 51c | 32,570$16,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,959.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 47c | 31,466$14,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,873.41 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 57c | 27,898$15,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,973.15 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78a…adb0backed Brewers | 49c | 26,977$13,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,218.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…670fbacked Pirates | 51c | 26,612$13,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,039.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Brewers | 43c | 23,187$9,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,913.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 59c | 15,273$9,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,201.58 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Pirates | 71c | 12,833$9,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729.69 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Pirates | 77c | 10,007$7,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Pirates | 54c | 8,123$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.35 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Brewers | 56c | 7,791$4,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,372.75 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 43c | 6,299$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,592.06 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Pirates | 53c | 3,396$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.23 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 59c | 3,396$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Brewers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 58c | 2,306$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.39 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pirates | 38c | 2,100$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.97 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 51c | 1,963$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.79 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Pirates | 47c | 1,886$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.83 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 62c | 1,720$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.08 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Brewers | 40c | 1,493$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Pirates | 50c | 1,444$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.17 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Pirates | 39c | 1,030$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.34 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pirates | 53c | 1,003$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.52 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pirates | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…d5ccbacked Brewers | 30c | 923.42$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.59 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Pirates | 35c | 917.97$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.68 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Brewers | 49c | 917.96$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.8 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Brewers | 66c | 909.94$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.56 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece9…75a4backed Pirates | 51c | 895$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Pirates | 54c | 890.57$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.55 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 57c | 845.56$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa342…222fbacked Brewers | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Pirates | 44c | 798.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.15 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Pirates | 52c | 793.83$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.54 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 55c | 708.44$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.5 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Brewers | 28c | 692.13$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Brewers | 33c | 672.73$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Brewers | 57c | 609.84$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.61 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Brewers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Brewers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Brewers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Pirates | 51c | 486.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.39 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5205…492dbacked Pirates | 51c | 450$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Brewers | 48c | 419.06$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.15 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed3…f05fbacked Brewers | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…a68abacked Pirates | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…786ebacked Pirates | 64c | 382.84$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.58 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Pirates | 51c | 370.75$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.48 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Brewers | 56c | 354.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a6…6db5backed Pirates | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pirates | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pirates | 51c | 256.75$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Pirates | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Brewers | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…7484backed Pirates | 75c | 239.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…6b5abacked Brewers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Brewers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brewers | 48c | 196.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Pirates | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Brewers | 52c | 177.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…f202backed Brewers | 18c | 172.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Pirates | 52c | 170$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…8cfdbacked Brewers | 64c | 168.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Pirates | 46c | 164.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 50c | 158.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Pirates | 72c | 156.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brewers | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Brewers | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 50c | 149.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Pirates | 52c | 138.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Brewers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…7fa3backed Pirates | 75c | 107.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Brewers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Brewers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Pirates | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Pirates | 53c | 94.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pirates | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Pirates | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Pirates | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 52c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Brewers | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Pirates | 45c | 69.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked Brewers | 57c | 69.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Brewers | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Pirates | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Brewers | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Brewers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Brewers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Pirates | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Brewers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Brewers | 53c | 37.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Brewers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…3d0abacked Pirates | 52c | 34.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…5d54backed Brewers | 50c | 33.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.